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Thursday, March 15, 2012
Matt Barzal Sweepstakes heating up
The most talked about prospect since Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has fans, teams, scouts and the hockey world talking as the 2011-2012 WHL season is winding down. Barzal has drawn many comparisons to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins due to the fact that they both played with BWC, both likely to share going first overall and both wear the number of their birth year as Nugent-Hopkins whore #93 and now Barzal #97. However, I don't think they play all that similar, as RNH will slow the game down to his pace and isn't quite as physical as Matt. While Matt tends to take the game to you and a high speed.
Matt Barzal first made noise at the Quebec International Peewee Tournament where he had scouts and critics buzzing all across Canada in dominating the tournament which features the best 12 year old talent in the world. Barzal had an astonishing 22 points in 7 games at the tournament and received rave reviews. Later that season, Barzal made his bantam debut with BWC at westerns as a 12 year old and did not look out of place at all. He then entered his first bantam season with a huge target on his back all season long, despite being a first year player and didn't disappoint, leading his team in scoring and to a birth in westerns. At westerns, he led the tournament in scoring with 14 points and was named the top forward in leading his team to the Western Canada Bantam Championships.
This season, Barzal has continued his progression despite being plagued by some ankle injuries, which has caused him to miss a fair amount of time. He scored over 3 points per game in league play and was named to the All-star team at the John Reid Memorial Tournament.
Here is a bit of a profile that CityTV Vancouver did on Matt.
With all that said, the teams that have the best chance at landing Matt are the Prince Albert Raiders, Prince George Cougars and the Seattle Thunderbirds currently. The bottom three teams in the final standings all have a chance due to the lottery and the fact that a team can move up a maximum of 2 spots, depending on which ball is drawn. Listed below is the chance of landing the first overall pick, based on standing.
Chance of ball being drawn
1- 6 balls - 28.57%
2- 5 balls - 23.81%
3- 4 balls - 19.05%
4- 3 balls - 14.29%
5- 2 balls - 9.52%
6- 1 balls - 4.76%
Teams with with the 1 - 2 - 3 positions have a chance of landing the first overall pick. Teams with the 4 - 5 - 6 positions can move up 2 positions and if any of those teams balls are drawn, the team in the #1 positions still would get the first overall pick.
Chance of landing the first overall pick
1 - 57.14%
2 - 23.81%
3 - 19.05%